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2014年第三季度乌克兰商业银行业务行业研究报告
Ukraine Commercial Banking Report Q3 2014

2014年第三季度乌克兰商业银行业务行业研究报告
【报告编号】:No.21463
【发布时间】:2014-08
【关 键 字】:商业银行业务   Commercial Banking   乌克兰   
【报告页数】:72页
【报告价格】:电子版:1295美元
【交付方式】:Email发送或EMS快递
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Abstract

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
 
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. 
 
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
 
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
 

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ..................................... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2013-2018 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2011-2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
SWOT ............................................. 9
Commercial Banking ........................................... 9
Political ................................................ 11
Economic ................................................ 12
Business Environment .......................................... 13
Industry Forecast ...................................... 14
Risks To Outlook ............................................. 18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .............................. 20
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings .......................... 20
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Market Overview ..................................... 22
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook ................................ 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) . . . . . . . . . 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Economic Analysis ............................................ 26
Risks To Outlook ............................................. 30
Table: Ukraine - Economic Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Competitive Landscape .................................. 31
Market Structure ............................................ 31
Protagonists ............................................... 31
Table: Protagonists In Ukraine's Commercial Banking Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe ............................... 31
List of Banks .............................................. 32
Table: Association of Ukrainian Banks Members . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Company Profile ...................................... 36
Oschadbank ............................................... 36
Table: Balance Sheet (UAHmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn, unless stated) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
PrivatBank ................................................ 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (UAHmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Prominvestbank .............................................. 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (UAHmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
Ukrsotsbank .............................................. 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (UAHmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
VTB Bank ................................................ 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (UAHmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Regional Overview .................................... 52
Emerging Europe Overview ......................................... 52
Global Industry Overview .................................. 57
Global Commercial Banking Outlook .................................... 57
Regional Outlooks ........................................... 57
Demographic Forecast ................................... 64
Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
Table: Ukraine's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
Table: Ukraine's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
Methodology ........................................ 68
Industry Forecast Methodology ...................................... 68
Sector-Specific Methodology ........................................ 69
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology .................................... 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators .............................. 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72

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